- JHU International Tracking GIS
- US States Doubling Time and County Level Data
- Texas Department of State Health Services dashboard
- Harris County/COH Dashboard
- IHME prediction model
Fundamentals of Social Distancing and Flattening
- Basic Reproduction Number or R0 (often pronounced R-naught)
- Surprisingly some of the clearest and most insightful holistic articles came from a non-scientist Stanford business graduate named Tomas Pueyo. These are great reading!
- The network response to adding one person to a social contact space is illustrated in this summary
- See this link for a good explanation of flattening principles as explained by Angela Merkel
Case Study Data
- Good examples of control are South Korea and Taiwan.
- A good example of sufficient testing and contact follow up control is Germany.
- Make sure to use a logarithmic plot of the case data to see if the trend is flattening.
If you are interested in the primary scientific reports here are some highlights but you would probably need a good background in medicine or science to get a lot out of these
- Good basic epidemiology article from Marc Lipsitch in 2007 for 1918 flu
- Paper discussing that up to 25% of infected individuals could be asymptomatic spreaders of the virus and drive infection model outcomes by more than two-thirds
- Paper suggesting that virus shedding occurs about 24 hours BEFORE and for the first 1-2 days of presenting symptoms (fever, etc.)
- SARS CoV 2 suggesting that the virus stay persistently on surfaces and in aerosols/vapor phase
- We also have recent reports that people may re-start viral shedding after recovery
About Yousif Shamoo, Ph.D.
Dr. Yousif Shamoo is a Professor of Biosciences at Rice University and the Vice Provost for Research. He is also a member of the Rice University Crisis Management Team for which he provides COVID-19 forecasting and other scientific guidance regarding infectious diseases. Dr. Shamoo’s research lab studies the rise of multi-drug resistant bacteria (hospital ‘super pathogens’) and receives support from the National Institutes of Health and the Department of Defense. He is the recipient of the American Society for Microbiology Distinguished Lecturer award and Rice’s top teaching award, the George R. Brown Award for Excellence in Teaching.
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